Blogging Bayport Alameda

May 10, 2019

Mayoral comparison

Filed under: Alameda — Lauren Do @ 6:00 am

The Statement of Vote for the Wellness Center is finally available at the Registrar of Voters website.

I’ve dropped it into a Google Sheet so you don’t have to download the excel spreadsheet.

As I suspected the lines that were drawn during the mid term election which saw Trish “the people’s Mayor” Spencer  lose her seat pretty much stayed the same for this election.  For a brief primer on the color coordination:

  1. Green cells are Marilyn Ezzy Ashcraft won precincts where Measure A won and Measure B lost.
  2. Yellow cells are Trish Spencer won precincts where Measure A lost and Measure B won.
  3. Blue cells are the opposite of the two scenarios above, essentially where the Measure A/B vote did not align with the Mayoral vote.

I’m sad to say to it looks like one of the big blue cell swings was my own neighborhood which makes me disappointed all around.  Do better neighbors!

If anyone decides to do their own analysis, post it here but the overall takeaway is: for anyone that was going to frame this as a Trish Spencer vs Marilyn Ezzy Ashcraft redux, you can see that most of the precincts which voted in favor of Marilyn Ezzy Ashcraft voted in favor of Measure A, against Measure B.  And vice versa.  There isn’t any narrative that would argue that Trish Spencer has gained support and therefore could or should attempt a run for City Council or Mayor next year.

 

 

3 Comments »

  1. Not shocking alignment … but certainly makes me reflect on community building.
    Even though I’ve known it for the past 20 years, the significant difference of BFI voting patterns and the ‘main island’ sometimes just smacks me when I see it laid out.

    Comment by Ron Mooney — May 10, 2019 @ 7:59 am

  2. Thank you for posting these, Lauren, the numbers are very gratifying to see, particularly the number of precincts that voted yes for compassion and no to the toxic lies that the measure B campaign. led by Trish Spencer, put forth.

    Comment by Doug Biggs — May 10, 2019 @ 5:18 pm

  3. For a data geek like myself the new format of the statement of vote is disappointing. In prior year elections the format broke the vote totals by vote by mail and ballot day vote. My voting pattern showed that the ballot box voting was much closer than vote by mail voting. I was hoping to analyze the ballot box voting to see which precincts respond to the No a A mailer as well as the leafletting at ferry sites. Unfortunately, the ROV has changed the format of reporting.

    The last 25 precincts reporting on election day showed the Yes on Measure A was only 50.77% yes compared to the vote by mail Yes percentage of 53.59%. So it appears the mailer and leafletting had some effect.

    Comment by Mike McMahon — May 11, 2019 @ 12:01 pm


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