Blogging Bayport Alameda

April 1, 2016

Open forum: national election

Filed under: Alameda — Lauren Do @ 6:01 am

Here it is.

Have at it.

But here’s probably my favorite site about any and all election related information.  I take a lot of comfort in all the mathematically referenced analysis.



  1. Well, I haven’t had the opportunity to be the first post here in quite a while. So I guess I’m going to be setting the tone today! And of course it’s an FEC requirement (or is it FCC?) that at least 93% of the contents in any media be about DONALD TRUMP. So we will have to talk about DONALD TRUMP incessantly. No point in talking about anybody else, right?

    Comment by therealdanwood — April 1, 2016 @ 7:56 am

    • “Nobody ever went broke underestimating the taste of the American public.”

      Comment by MP — April 1, 2016 @ 8:21 am

    • 52 percent

      Using the top daily story on Memeorandum, a political news aggregator, as a proxy for what the top political news story of the day is, Donald Trump has led the news on 104 of the 286 days between when he launched his campaign and this past Sunday. That’s 36 percent of the time. When the top political story was about the campaign, Trump has owned 52 percent of the political news days. [FiveThirtyEight]

      Comment by Mike McMahon — April 1, 2016 @ 9:56 am

  2. How about theoretical stories of situations that could come about if Mr. Trump were actually elected. For instance his first trip to Mexico to receive that big check to build the wall.

    Comment by John P. — April 1, 2016 @ 8:55 am

  3. In honor of April Fool’s Day: the thing that has given me the most laughs this election season is the “Ted Cruz is the Zodiac Killer” meme. (Google it if you don’t know what I’m talking about.) Nothing else about this election is very funny!

    Comment by trow125 — April 1, 2016 @ 9:20 am

  4. There are definitely supporters of a variety of candidates here in Alameda. I’ve been supporting Bernie Sanders (surprise!) and helping at some “Feel the Bern” events like some “honk-and-wave” gatherings where we stand at a busy street corner holding Bernie signs, to scientifically poll people driving by to see whom they are supporting. If they honk, they like Bernie (or maybe they want us to get off the sidewalks.) We of course noticed a YUGE amount of enthusiastic support for Bernie here, but occasionally we’d see somebody going by giving a thumbs-down sign or shouting “TRUUUUUUMMMMP” loudly out their open window. I saw a couple of “Hillary” bumper stickers too. Last weekend, a woman who was walking by said that she was a Cruz supporter, so I asked her earnestly what he stands for. Her reply: “A return to the old constitution.” That kind of stumped me. At least she was polite; we wished each other well as she set off across the street.

    Comment by therealdanwood — April 1, 2016 @ 10:42 am

  5. 538 is okay. They are invaluable as we approach the general election. I have been following him since 2006? when he posted stuff on Daily Kos as “poblano.”

    That said, as a stand alone web presence, they have a lot of “air time” to fill and there is a lot of blind punditry masked as data journalism on the site lately. He has been really arrogant and really wrong this primary season. A lot.

    I’m under 40, white, male and live in the Bay Area… of course I am for Bernie. (not because I am about identity politics, but, as they say, sometimes demographics is destiny.)

    Comment by BMac — April 1, 2016 @ 11:08 am

    • add to that demographic, “and Oakland A’s fan” and it really leans Bernie

      Comment by MP — April 1, 2016 @ 1:35 pm

    • As reader of 538 and data person myself their data journalism is a presentation of probabilities based on examining polling data. If the polling data contains flaws then the probabilities end up being misstated. Does that make their work wrong? In the end there are lies, damn lies and statistics.

      Comment by Mike McMahon — April 1, 2016 @ 10:59 pm

  6. off topic, sort of. Ronn Owens moves to KSFO 560 the right wing-nut station. I always thought he belonged there.

    Comment by John P. — April 1, 2016 @ 11:49 am

  7. My favorite image so far from the campaign season.

    Comment by therealdanwood — April 1, 2016 @ 2:15 pm

  8. For those that support Bernie, can you tell me what he has been able to accomplish in his 25 years in Congress?

    Comment by Gary — April 1, 2016 @ 5:02 pm

    • Yeah. He’s managed to stay clear of corruption which is more than you can say of most of our congressmen.

      Comment by Denise Shelton — April 1, 2016 @ 5:21 pm

    • Speaking for myself, I choose Bernie because I agree with his policy positions (mostly) and trust his motivations. Lists of legislative accomplishments is way down on the list of importance (if it was important nobody would have voted for Obama.)

      Comment by BMac — April 3, 2016 @ 3:20 pm

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